Joseph for KosovaPress: The Berlin meeting will not change the dynamics of the dialogue much
The meeting in Berlin was important in "breaking the ice" after the escalation of hostile rhetoric between Serbia and Kosovo. In such a meeting, both Kurti and Vucic were in a position to change their language and express a positive attitude in principle towards the EU-led dialogue, says Edward P. Joseph, professor at Johns Hopkins University in Washington, in a statement given to KosovaPress.
The marathon meetings that took place in Berlin on May 4, which focused on the dialogue between Kosovo and Serbia, were commented as a step forward in increasing the dynamics of the dialogue process between the two countries.
But, Professor Edward P. Joseph says for KosovaPress that he does not expect much change in the dynamics of this process even after these meetings.
"Basically, from this meeting I see a little change in the dynamics of dialogue developments. People forget that the dynamics in the dialogue was difficult even before Kurti became prime minister for the second time. Talks had failed when Hoti was prime minister, immediately after the signing of the Washington Agreement, when Belgrade engaged in a very provocative language that was apparently created to prevent progress," he said.
According to him, in any case, it is clear that dialogue, as a step-by-step tool for progress, is largely powerless, because he adds, it is seen that the issue of license plates is related to the issue of sovereignty over Kosovo.
In January of this year, the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies and the Woodrow Wilson Center - one of the most prestigious academic institutions in America, through the report "From crisis to convergence - the strategy for combating instability in the Balkans at the source” offered several proposals to enable the unblocking of disputes in the dialogue process.
Professor Edward P. Joseph led the team of researchers to draft this report and from this experience says that the real problem in dialogue is structural.
"Serbia has the advantage of leverage over Kosovo. We explained this in January of this year in our report by SAIS and the Wilson Center, ‘From Crisis to Convergence’. The dispute has stalled because four NATO countries - Greece, Slovakia, Spain and Romania - do not recognize Kosovo. If they would recognize Kosovo, then Serbia's blockade of Kosovo, backed by Russia and China, would be essentially meaningless. Instead, Serbia would finally have a reason to negotiate democratic conditions and the right to recognition, as it could no longer isolate Kosovo," he said.
To advance the dialogue, according to him, the way forward remains if the four NATO members that have not recognized Kosovo can move forward towards recognition.
"For example, by including Kosovo in NATO's 'Partnership for Peace'. "The 'Convergence' path we recommended in our report remains the key to finally resolving the dispute over Kosovo and allowing the region to move forward," he said.
Professor Edward P. Joseph gave these comments to KosovaPress reflecting his opinion about the meetings that took place in Berlin and the possibility of accelerating the dynamics in the Kosovo-Serbia dialogue process led by the EU and supported by the US. On Wednesday (May 4, 2022) in Berlin, the Prime Minister of Kosovo Albin Kurti and the President of Serbia Aleksandar Vuicic were received in separate meetings by the Chancellor of Germany Olaf Scholz, and in the evening had an informal dinner with the EU Ambassador for Dialogue Miroslav Lajqak.
The West has stepped up efforts to push both sides to reach a final agreement, to avoid the threat to security in the Balkan region as a result of Russia's brutal attack on Ukraine.