The insistence of the Vetëvendosje Movement - as the winning party in the February 9 parliamentary elections - to form a government only with non-majority communities, as well as the barricading of other parties against Albin Kurti's party, is expected to delay the constitution of the Parliament and the formation of the government.
According to political analysts, the preliminary election results have created uncertainty about the new composition of the legislature and the numbers of who could form the executive, the LVV alone or even a broad coalition of opposition parties - PDK, LDK, AAK-Nisma, together with non-majority communities.
Based on this, they say that there will be delays in the formation of the government as there will be numerous calculations on how and who can form the government. In addition, it is emphasized that delays in the counting of votes and the official certification of the elections may also cause delays in the formation of the new government.
Based on the preliminary results of the CEC, where 99.72 percent of the votes have been counted, the Vetëvendosje Movement has won 40.84 percent or 341 thousand 672 thousand votes. The Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) ranks second with 22.15 percent or 184 thousand 499 votes, the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) third with 17.59 percent or 147 thousand 827 votes. AAK-NISMA-Conservators-Intellectuals-Ideal ranks fourth with 7.47 percent or 62 thousand 309 votes.
Based on this result, political scientist Artan Muhaxhiri tells KosovaPress that forming a government will take time, as the Vetëvendosje Movement, even with the votes of the diaspora, will have difficulty getting over 50 MPs and forming the executive with only minorities, excluding the Serbian List.
He leaves open the possibility that a broad coalition between PDK, LDK, and AAK-Nisma, together with non-majority communities, could form the government.
"However, there will be delays. It will [take] time and many meetings. We know the leaders of our parties and we know how they function. There will be many calculations, balancing, until a harmonization is achieved that will satisfy all parties. This will take time, but also because there is now an 'anti LVV' bloc, where all parties are away from the Vetëvendosje Movement.", he emphasizes.
Constitutional scholar, university professor Mazllum Baraliu tells KosovaPress that delays in the constitution of the Assembly and the formation of the government will depend on the circumstances that will arise.
He also highlights the delays in counting the election results and their certification by the CEC.
In addition to this, as well as political calculations for post-electoral coalitions, according to him, there may be delays in the constitution of new institutions.
"I think that to create a minority majority is not a problem, but to create a strong majority, any coalition that can govern needs reinforcements. Those reinforcements are obtained by forming a coalition with a party, even though they have declared that they will not form a coalition with LVV and LVV with them. However, it can also be done by taking deputies from different parties to strengthen their governing coalition, whether LVV or the opposition parties, if they claim to form a minority government. Yes, it is possible, it is not illegal to animate any deputies and increase the voting power of the coalition", emphasizes Baraliu.
Political analyst Seb Bytyqi states that based on the current election results, there will be numerous calculations regarding the formation of the government.
He says that in addition to LVV, as the winning party in the elections, other parties will also attempt to form the government. This situation, according to him, could produce an impasse that will delay the formation of the new executive.
"[Formation of a government by the opposition] It is possible, since they have sufficient numbers, to either form a government with 20 minority MPs, or perhaps only with non-Serb minorities. So, the two small parties with a number of six, seven MPs, AAK-Nisma, as well as the Serbian List, these two can help the future coalition to form a government. If AAK in no way goes with the Vetevendosje Movement, then this party can choose the Serbian List. But, if there is no appetite in the LVV to make an agreement with the Serbian List, then the other way is to go into opposition. However, if they make an agreement with the LDK or the PDK for the position of president and enter the governing coalition with the idea of taking the position of president, and that party is possible", emphasizes Bytyçi.
Based on the preliminary results of the Central Electoral Commission for the February 9 parliamentary elections, the Vetëvendosje Movement is expected to have 47 deputies in the Kosovo Assembly, the Democratic Party of Kosovo 25, the Democratic League of Kosovo 20, the AAK-Nisma coalition 8 deputies, while non-majority communities have 20 reserved seats.
However, with the counting of around 100 votes from the diaspora and those with conditions, Albin Kurti's party is considered to be able to win two to three more MPs, depending on the number of votes from the diaspora. /E.Zeqiri
