Based on the preliminary results of the Central Electoral Commission for the February 9 parliamentary elections, the Vetëvendosje Movement is expected to have 47 deputies in the Kosovo Assembly, the Democratic Party of Kosovo 25, the Democratic League 20, the AAK-Nisma coalition with eight deputies, and the non-majority communities 20 deputies.

However, with the counting of around 100 votes from the diaspora and those with conditions, Albin Kurti's party, in coalition with Guxo and Alternativa, is considered to be able to win two to three more MPs - depending on the percentage of votes won from the diaspora.

Despite this, political analysts believe that LVV will have a hard time forming a government on its own. According to them, a coalition between LVV and other Albanian parties is hardly possible. Consequently, there may be a stalemate in the formation of the next government.

The CEC has counted 99.17 percent of the votes from 2,512 polling centers out of a total of 2.533, according to which the Vetëvendosje Movement continues to lead with 40.83 percent or 339 votes.

PDK ranks second with 22.15 percent or 184 thousand 40 votes, LDK third with 17.59 percent or 146 thousand 241 votes, while AAK-NISMA-Conservators-Intellectuals-Ideal ranks fourth with 7.47 percent or 62 thousand 66 votes.

Researcher at the Kosovo Democratic Institute (KDI), Eugen Cakolli, tells KosovaPress - based on these results - how many deputies political parties can get in the Kosovo Assembly.

He also provides a scenario for how the Vetëvendosje Movement can win 51 MPs and, with the help of non-Serb communities in the Assembly, form a government.

"The composition of the Assembly will be such that the Vetevendosje Movement is expected to have 47 MPs, followed by the Democratic Party of Kosovo with 25 MPs, the Democratic League of Kosovo with 20 MPs, as well as the coalition of the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo with Nisma and several other parties are expected to have eight MPs. However, the fact that we have about 100 thousand votes still in the calculation, including 80 to 90 thousand votes that are coming from abroad and at least 20 thousand votes from conditional voting, the result may have changes but it should be emphasized that they will be marginal. The diaspora votes in the most positive version for any party, in this case for the LVV which has a better trend than within the country, may be two to three MPs maximum. Even three or four MPs to make it 51 mandates, it needs to win almost 90 or 100 percent of the diaspora votes. This is more impossible. In the most realistic scenario when LVV will get 60 or 70 percent of the votes, as it usually has, then the number of LVV mandates could reach 49. But this is not certain, depending on how PDK and LDK will perform. So LVV in these elections will have a result that varies between 47-49 MPs at most", Cakolli emphasizes.

On the other hand, political analyst Magbule Shkodra tells KosovaPress that Kurti's harsh language in the campaign against PDK, LDK, and AAK shows that he does not want a coalition with any party.

According to her, the decline in the LVV's votes and the failure to secure the necessary numbers in the Assembly could bring the country into an uncertain situation and political crisis.

However, political science professor Dritëro Arifi tells KosovaPress that the result of the February 9 elections is clear and that a political crisis can only occur if the winning party, the Vetëvendosje Movement, wants such a thing.

Based on the results so far, the possibility has not been denied that the opposition parties, PDK, LDK, AAK, together with non-majority communities, will form the government, and the Vetëvendosje Movement - despite its victory in the elections - will remain in opposition.

PDK and AAK have expressed their readiness for such a thing, while LDK has said that they will come up with a position after discussions with structures./E.Zeqiri

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